格雷厄姆·艾利森檢視原始碼討論檢視歷史

小格雷厄姆·蒂利特·艾利森
圖片來自news.harvard

小格雷厄姆·蒂利特·艾利森（英語：Graham Tillett Allison, Jr.，（1940年3月23日－）為美國哈佛約翰·F·甘迺迪政府學院教授、首任院長，政治與國際關係理論家，提出修昔底德陷阱 (英語：Thucydides's Trap) 一詞。曾擔任美國總統隆納·雷根國防特別顧問，之後於美國總統比爾·柯林頓任內擔任國防計畫助理部長。

論述

其2010年後提出的詞彙「修昔底德陷阱」廣為世界所知，指一個新崛起的大國必然要挑戰現存大國，而現存大國也必然來回應這種威脅，這樣戰爭變得不可避免。這一概念來自修昔底德（《伯羅奔尼撒戰爭史》的作者）的名言：「伯羅奔尼撒戰爭的無可避免，肇因於斯巴達對雅典崛起的恐懼。」他認為中美關係可能正在面對這一階段。

著作

• 1969: "Conceptual Models and the Cuban Missile Crisis". American Political Science Review. 63(3): 689-718.
• 1971: Essence of Decision: Explaining the Cuban Missile Crisis. Little, Brown.
• 1972: "Bureaucratic Politics: A Paradigm and Some Policy Implications." World Politics. 24:40-79 (with Morton H. Halperin).
• 1976: Remaking Foreign Policy: The Organizational Connection. Basic Books (with Peter Szanton).
• 1983: Sharing International Responsibility Among the Trilateral Countries. Trilateral Commission (with Nobuhiko Ushiba and Thierry de Montbrial).
• 1985: Hawks, Doves and Owls: An Agenda for Avoiding Nuclear War. W.W. Norton. (edited with Albert Carnesale and Joseph Nye Jr).
• 1989: Windows of Opportunity: From Cold War to Peaceful Competition. Ballinger (edited with William Ury).
• 1992: Rethinking America's Security: Beyond Cold War to New World Order. W.W. Norton (edited with Gregory Treverton).
• 1996: Avoiding Nuclear Anarchy: Containing the Threat of Loose Russian Nuclear Weapons and Fissile Material. MIT Press.
• 2004: Nuclear Terrorism: The Ultimate Preventable Catastrophe. Henry Holt.
• 2013: Lee Kuan Yew: The Grand Master's Insights on China, the United States, and the World. MIT Press (with Robert D. Blackwill, Ali Wyne, and a foreword by Henry A. Kissinger).
• 2017: Destined for War: Can America and China Escape Thucydides's Trap?. Houghton Mifflin Harcourt.

參見

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