24,887
次編輯
變更
创建页面，内容为“<div style="float:right; margin:-10px 0 0 10px"> {| class="wikitable" ! <p style="background: #0088A8; color: #FFFFFF; margin:auto; padding:5px 0; ">阿倫·李奇…”
<div style="float:right; margin:-10px 0 0 10px">
{| class="wikitable"
! <p style="background: #0088A8; color: #FFFFFF; margin:auto; padding:5px 0; ">阿倫·李奇曼 </p>
|-
|<center><img src="https://www.american.edu/uploads/profiles/large/lichtman-alan.jpg" width="280" > </center>
<small>[https://www.american.edu/cas/faculty/lichtman.cfm 圖片來自American University] <br>
'''出生''' 1947年4月4日~<br>
'''母校''' [[哈佛大學]]<br>
'''知名於''' 美國政治史學者<br>
'''專業領域''' 美國政治學<br>
</small>
|}
</div>
'''阿倫·李奇曼'''（'''Allan Lichtman'''）{{BD|1947年|4月4日||}}是一名的美國政治史學者，目前任教於[[華盛頓特區]]的[[美利堅大學]]<ref>[https://www.american.edu/cas/news/13-keys-election-prediction.cfm Does Allan Lichtman Stand by His “13 Keys” Prediction of a Joe Biden Win? ]，American University， 28October2020</ref>。他曾經在2006年代表[[馬里蘭州]]出選參議員，並且以準確預測多年的[[美國總統選舉]]而著稱。
出生於[[紐約市]][[布魯克林]][[布朗斯維爾 (布魯克林)|布朗斯維爾]]，畢業於知名的[[史岱文森高中]]，並且先後取得[[布蘭戴斯大學]]歷史學文學士以及[[哈佛大學]]歷史學博士。
==著作==
* ''Historians And The Living Past: The Theory And Practice Of Historical Study'' (Arlington Heights, Ill.: Harlan Davidson, Inc., 1978; With Valerie French)
* ''Ecological Inference'' (With Laura Irwin Langbein, Sage Series In Quantitative Applications In The Social Sciences, 1978)
* ''Your Family History: How To Use Oral History, Personal Family Archives, And Public Documents To Discover Your Heritage'' (New York: Random House, 1978)
* ''Prejudice And The Old Politics: The Presidential Election Of 1928'' (Chapel Hill: University Of North Carolina Press, 1979; Lexington Books, 2000)
* ''Kin And Communities: Families In America'' (Edited, With Joan Challinor, Washington, D. C.: Smithsonian Press, 1979)
* ''The Thirteen Keys To The Presidency'' (Lanham: Madison Books, 1990, With Ken Decell) ISBN 978-0-8191-7008-8
* ''The Keys To The White House'', 1996 Edition (Lanham: Madison Books, 1996; reprint, Lexington Books Edition, 2000) ISBN 978-0-7391-0179-7
* ''White Protestant Nation: The Rise of The American Conservative Movement'', (Finalist for National Book Critics Circle Award in non-fiction, 2008<ref name="bookcritics.org"/>) Grove/Atlantic Press. ISBN 978-0-87113-984-9
* ''FDR & the Jews''," (Co-authored with Richard Breitman. Harvard University Press, 2013)<ref>{{cite news | url=http://www.nytimes.com/2013/03/09/books/book-tries-for-balanced-view-on-roosevelt-and-jews.html?pagewanted=all&_r=0 | work=The New York Times | first=Jennifer | last=Schuessler | title=Book 'FDR and the Jews' Looks at Roosevelt-Holocaust Issues | date=8 March 2013 | accessdate=2016-11-12 | archive-date=2015-06-11 | archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20150611003352/http://www.nytimes.com/2013/03/09/books/book-tries-for-balanced-view-on-roosevelt-and-jews.html?pagewanted=all&_r=0 | dead-url=no }}</ref><ref>{{cite web|url=http://www.thenation.com/article/175315/fdrs-jewish-problem|title=FDR’s Jewish Problem|publisher=|via=The Nation|accessdate=2016-11-12|archive-date=2015-06-10|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20150610213530/http://www.thenation.com/article/175315/fdrs-jewish-problem|dead-url=no}}</ref><ref>{{cite news | url=http://www.nytimes.com/2013/04/07/books/review/fdr-and-the-jews-by-richard-breitman-and-allan-j-lichtman.html?pagewanted=all | work=The New York Times | first=David | last=Oshinsky | title='FDR and the Jews,' by Richard Breitman and Allan J. Lichtman | date=5 April 2013 | accessdate=2016-11-12 | archive-date=2015-06-11 | archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20150611011750/http://www.nytimes.com/2013/04/07/books/review/fdr-and-the-jews-by-richard-breitman-and-allan-j-lichtman.html?pagewanted=all | dead-url=no }}</ref>
==視頻==
<div style="float:left; margin:10px 10px 10px 10px">
{{#evu:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ToFy-LX2QS4
|alignment=center
|dimensions=480
|container=frame
|description=Allan Lichtman is already predicting the 2024 presidential race }}
</div> {{-}}
== 參考文獻 ==
{{reflist}}
==外部連結==
*[https://www.american.edu/cas/faculty/lichtman.cfm American University-Allan Lichtman]
*[https://www.thenationalnews.com/world/the-americas/what-is-allan-lichtman-s-prediction-for-the-2024-us-presidential-election-1.1109868 thenationalnews-What is Allan Lichtman's prediction for the 2024 US presidential election?]
*[https://hdsr.mitpress.mit.edu/pub/l8226sh6/release/1 Harvard Data Science Review- Post-Election Interview with Allan Lichtman]
*[https://www.amazon.com/Allan-J.-Lichtman/e/B001HPPRFA%3Fref=dbs_a_mng_rwt_scns_share amazon -Allan J. Lichtman BOOKS]
{| class="wikitable"
! <p style="background: #0088A8; color: #FFFFFF; margin:auto; padding:5px 0; ">阿倫·李奇曼 </p>
|-
|<center><img src="https://www.american.edu/uploads/profiles/large/lichtman-alan.jpg" width="280" > </center>
<small>[https://www.american.edu/cas/faculty/lichtman.cfm 圖片來自American University] <br>
'''出生''' 1947年4月4日~<br>
'''母校''' [[哈佛大學]]<br>
'''知名於''' 美國政治史學者<br>
'''專業領域''' 美國政治學<br>
</small>
|}
</div>
'''阿倫·李奇曼'''（'''Allan Lichtman'''）{{BD|1947年|4月4日||}}是一名的美國政治史學者，目前任教於[[華盛頓特區]]的[[美利堅大學]]<ref>[https://www.american.edu/cas/news/13-keys-election-prediction.cfm Does Allan Lichtman Stand by His “13 Keys” Prediction of a Joe Biden Win? ]，American University， 28October2020</ref>。他曾經在2006年代表[[馬里蘭州]]出選參議員，並且以準確預測多年的[[美國總統選舉]]而著稱。
出生於[[紐約市]][[布魯克林]][[布朗斯維爾 (布魯克林)|布朗斯維爾]]，畢業於知名的[[史岱文森高中]]，並且先後取得[[布蘭戴斯大學]]歷史學文學士以及[[哈佛大學]]歷史學博士。
==著作==
* ''Historians And The Living Past: The Theory And Practice Of Historical Study'' (Arlington Heights, Ill.: Harlan Davidson, Inc., 1978; With Valerie French)
* ''Ecological Inference'' (With Laura Irwin Langbein, Sage Series In Quantitative Applications In The Social Sciences, 1978)
* ''Your Family History: How To Use Oral History, Personal Family Archives, And Public Documents To Discover Your Heritage'' (New York: Random House, 1978)
* ''Prejudice And The Old Politics: The Presidential Election Of 1928'' (Chapel Hill: University Of North Carolina Press, 1979; Lexington Books, 2000)
* ''Kin And Communities: Families In America'' (Edited, With Joan Challinor, Washington, D. C.: Smithsonian Press, 1979)
* ''The Thirteen Keys To The Presidency'' (Lanham: Madison Books, 1990, With Ken Decell) ISBN 978-0-8191-7008-8
* ''The Keys To The White House'', 1996 Edition (Lanham: Madison Books, 1996; reprint, Lexington Books Edition, 2000) ISBN 978-0-7391-0179-7
* ''White Protestant Nation: The Rise of The American Conservative Movement'', (Finalist for National Book Critics Circle Award in non-fiction, 2008<ref name="bookcritics.org"/>) Grove/Atlantic Press. ISBN 978-0-87113-984-9
* ''FDR & the Jews''," (Co-authored with Richard Breitman. Harvard University Press, 2013)<ref>{{cite news | url=http://www.nytimes.com/2013/03/09/books/book-tries-for-balanced-view-on-roosevelt-and-jews.html?pagewanted=all&_r=0 | work=The New York Times | first=Jennifer | last=Schuessler | title=Book 'FDR and the Jews' Looks at Roosevelt-Holocaust Issues | date=8 March 2013 | accessdate=2016-11-12 | archive-date=2015-06-11 | archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20150611003352/http://www.nytimes.com/2013/03/09/books/book-tries-for-balanced-view-on-roosevelt-and-jews.html?pagewanted=all&_r=0 | dead-url=no }}</ref><ref>{{cite web|url=http://www.thenation.com/article/175315/fdrs-jewish-problem|title=FDR’s Jewish Problem|publisher=|via=The Nation|accessdate=2016-11-12|archive-date=2015-06-10|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20150610213530/http://www.thenation.com/article/175315/fdrs-jewish-problem|dead-url=no}}</ref><ref>{{cite news | url=http://www.nytimes.com/2013/04/07/books/review/fdr-and-the-jews-by-richard-breitman-and-allan-j-lichtman.html?pagewanted=all | work=The New York Times | first=David | last=Oshinsky | title='FDR and the Jews,' by Richard Breitman and Allan J. Lichtman | date=5 April 2013 | accessdate=2016-11-12 | archive-date=2015-06-11 | archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20150611011750/http://www.nytimes.com/2013/04/07/books/review/fdr-and-the-jews-by-richard-breitman-and-allan-j-lichtman.html?pagewanted=all | dead-url=no }}</ref>
==視頻==
<div style="float:left; margin:10px 10px 10px 10px">
{{#evu:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ToFy-LX2QS4
|alignment=center
|dimensions=480
|container=frame
|description=Allan Lichtman is already predicting the 2024 presidential race }}
</div> {{-}}
== 參考文獻 ==
{{reflist}}
==外部連結==
*[https://www.american.edu/cas/faculty/lichtman.cfm American University-Allan Lichtman]
*[https://www.thenationalnews.com/world/the-americas/what-is-allan-lichtman-s-prediction-for-the-2024-us-presidential-election-1.1109868 thenationalnews-What is Allan Lichtman's prediction for the 2024 US presidential election?]
*[https://hdsr.mitpress.mit.edu/pub/l8226sh6/release/1 Harvard Data Science Review- Post-Election Interview with Allan Lichtman]
*[https://www.amazon.com/Allan-J.-Lichtman/e/B001HPPRFA%3Fref=dbs_a_mng_rwt_scns_share amazon -Allan J. Lichtman BOOKS]